{"id":2747,"date":"2021-11-02T15:38:35","date_gmt":"2021-11-02T14:38:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/monocle.lu\/?p=2747"},"modified":"2022-05-04T16:16:25","modified_gmt":"2022-05-04T14:16:25","slug":"pfizer-le-casse-du-siecle","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/monocle.lu\/en\/2021\/11\/02\/pfizer-le-casse-du-siecle\/","title":{"rendered":"Pfizer, The Breach of the Century"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Pfizer released this morning its third quarter results and its guidance for the year 2021:<br \/>\n- 82 billion in sales<br \/>\n- 23 billion in net income<br \/>\nThat's twice as much as before the pandemic. A year out of the ordinary.<\/p>\n<p>Bingo<br \/>\nVaccine in the lead: 2.3 billion doses for the year 2021.<br \/>\nEnough to double the group's results in one year.<br \/>\nBut that's not all. The rest of the pharmaceutical giant's business is doing well.<br \/>\nAnd Pfizer still has a stratospheric net margin of 30%.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand<br \/>\nThe stock price has not followed yet.<br \/>\nToday Pfizer is worth $240 billion. That's the same level as in November 2018. Except that in the meantime, Pfizer hit the jackpot. Billions of dollars cashed in thanks to the vaccine. How that money will be used remains to be seen.<\/p>\n<p>What happens next?<br \/>\n<strong>Scenario 1<\/strong>\u00a0- Covid dissipates. Pfizer cashes in the loot for a few more months and returns to its initial cruising speed: 45 billion in sales, 15 billion in net margin. It would therefore be valued at 16x its earnings: a good price. But with at least 10 billion more in the coffers...<br \/>\n<strong>Scenario 2<\/strong>\u00a0- Covid persists. We need booster vaccines every year and Pfizer is surfing the market. Estimates: 65 billion in sales, 20 billion in net margin. Pfizer would be valued at 12x earnings: that's cheap.<\/p>\n<p>A great opportunity in these crazy markets?<\/p>\n<p>Have a great week,<\/p>\n<p>Pierre<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pfizer publiait ce matin ses r\u00e9sultats du 3\u00e8me trimestre et pr\u00e9cisait ses pr\u00e9visions pour l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2021 : &#8211; 82 milliards de $ de chiffre d\u2019affaires &#8211; 23 milliards&#8230;<\/p>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":2871,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2747","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-le-billet-de-monocle"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Monocle - Pfizer, Le Casse Du Si\u00e8cle<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Monocle - 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