{"id":5198,"date":"2025-06-05T14:34:23","date_gmt":"2025-06-05T12:34:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/monocle.lu\/?p=5198"},"modified":"2025-06-05T14:34:23","modified_gmt":"2025-06-05T12:34:23","slug":"pas-de-pont-pour-les-braves","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/monocle.lu\/en\/2025\/06\/05\/pas-de-pont-pour-les-braves\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00ab\u00a0Pas de pont pour les braves\u00a0\u00bb"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\n\n
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Jeudi j\u2019avais un call avec Henry Gosebruch, le nouveau patron de Galapagos, qui est la derni\u00e8re grosse ligne du fonds (5.9%). Henry \u2013 avec les Am\u00e9ricains on s\u2019appelle par notre pr\u00e9nom \u00e0 la deuxi\u00e8me minute, il faudra vous habituer \u2013 \u00e9tait auparavant Chief Strategic Officer chez Abbvie, o\u00f9 il a compl\u00e9t\u00e9 100 transactions dans le secteur biotech, et avant cela 20 ans en M&A chez JP Morgan. Il a donc le CV pour utiliser le cash qui s\u2019\u00e9l\u00e8ve \u00e0 \u20ac3,300,000,000, soit divis\u00e9 par 66M d\u2019actions, \u20ac50 par action, pour une action qui c\u00f4te \u20ac25,56 juste maintenant.<\/p>\n

Sur les co\u00fbts c\u2019est assez simple : il va vendre tout ce qui est dans les placards, y compris le programme de Paul Stoffels qui s\u2019en va, et garder une \u00e9quipe r\u00e9duite qui va donc investir ces \u20ac3,3 milliards dans la biotech. Gilead d\u00e9tient toujours 25% du capital et a deux personnes au board. Le fonds am\u00e9ricain EcoR1 d\u00e9tient 11% et son patron, le pas commode Oleg Nodelman, est \u00e9galement au board.<\/p>\n

Tous ces gens sont aussi exc\u00e9d\u00e9s que moi par l\u2019\u00e9volution de ce cours de Bourse et n\u2019ont donc qu\u2019un objectif : le faire remonter. \u00c7a devrait donc bouger vite et bien.<\/p>\n

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Le vieux short seller Robert Wilson disait qu\u2019on gagnait de l\u2019argent sur une action quand le march\u00e9 changeait d\u2019avis sur une valeur. Now ?<\/p>\n

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Sinon, la strat\u00e9gie du \u00ab pop \u00bb expliqu\u00e9e dans le dernier billet sur ELF Beauty a bien eu lieu : +24% jeudi apr\u00e8s les r\u00e9sultats. \u00c9tant donn\u00e9 qu\u2019aucun de vous ne m\u2019a f\u00e9licit\u00e9, je m\u2019en suis charg\u00e9 moi-m\u00eame dans ma glace de salle de bains.<\/p>\n

Post-pop, ELF atteint une valorisation o\u00f9 il ne faut pas de b\u00e9mol. Et il y en a plusieurs : ils ach\u00e8tent pour $1.0 Mds la soci\u00e9t\u00e9 de maquillage rhode de la jeune Hailey Bieber. Est-ce que cette jeune (28 ans) influenceuse\/mannequin, mari\u00e9e au chanteur Justin Bieber \u2013 pas r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 \u00e9couter un seul titre en entier \u2013 vaut un milliard ? Je ne sais pas, mais le fait qu\u2019ELF ach\u00e8te 80% tout de suite et les 20% restants d\u2019ici trois ans ne me rassure pas.<\/p>\n

Et puis Tarang le malin, le patron d\u2019ELF, ne fait qu\u2019une seule chose depuis l\u2019introduction en Bourse d\u2019ELF : il vend. Il avait 10% au d\u00e9but, tomb\u00e9 \u00e0 3% l\u2019ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re, maintenant 2%. Je n\u2019aime pas quand le commandant de bord sort de l\u2019avion avec son parachute en me disant \u00ab ne vous inqui\u00e9tez pas, je reviens \u00bb.<\/p>\n

C\u2019est d\u2019ailleurs pour \u00e7a que j\u2019ai vendu les Aurora la semaine derni\u00e8re. Quand, trois jours apr\u00e8s que le premier camion autonome entre officiellement en service, le cofondateur Sterling Anderson annonce qu\u2019il part chez GM, il est temps de partir.<\/p>\n

On aura gagn\u00e9 $2.899.000 avec Aurora en juste un an, et $219.000 avec ELF en 48h.<\/p>\n

No comment.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

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Performance et march\u00e9s<\/strong><\/h2>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

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Au 2 Juin, Monocle (part A) est \u00e0 +2,03% sur 2025 et \u00e0 +4,08% en annualis\u00e9 sur 5 ans.<\/p>\n

2024: +1,14%
\n2023: +7,67%
\n2022: -1,92%
\n2021: +4,23%
\n2020: +6,44%<\/p>\n

Bonne semaine emmen\u00e9e par Elf (vendue), Capri (vendue), Ouster (1.1% du fonds) et Lightpath (1.2%) . Avec toutes ces ventes le portefeuille est plus l\u00e9ger \u00e0 24% d\u2019exposition nette. C\u2019est ma premi\u00e8re pr\u00e9occupation : retrouver des choses \u00e0 mettre dedans mais c\u2019est plus difficile \u00e0 ces niveaux de valeurs. C\u00f4t\u00e9 cr\u00e9dit nous avons \u00e9galement profit\u00e9 du retour au calme pour r\u00e9duire nos positions avec une exposition cr\u00e9dit corporate revenue sous les 11% et pas une ligne sup\u00e9rieure \u00e0 2%.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

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Factsheet Monocle – mai 2025<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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